EDGE//NFL
DATA PROVENANCEProps, best lines and alerts come from the real 2026 props-board export. Every quote carries its own read time from that export, so ages are real; a quote whose source recorded none says so instead of borrowing the export time. The schedule is real too: matchups, kickoffs, stadiums, spreads and totals all come from nflverse. Every quote on this board is a season-long market, so no price settles in a single game. Whether a book is currently open or suspended still needs a status API, and injuries, weather, moneylines, game-level model probabilities and weekly stats are not available in this snapshot — they are shown as unavailable, never invented.

2026 win totals

32 teams · model projection vs Kalshi line · snapshot 19:38Z

Teams

32

Model overs

10

Model unders

22

Games remaining

544

2026 team win-total projections, Kalshi lines, model picks, current records and scoring state.
TeamModel winsModel rateKalshi lineDifferencePickRecordState
ARI7.0+40.9%4.5+2.5over0-0pending
ATL8.5+49.9%7.5+1.0over0-0pending
BAL8.7+51.1%11.5-2.8under0-0pending
BUF10.2+60.2%11.5-1.3under0-0pending
CAR7.6+44.9%7.5+0.1over0-0pending
CHI8.3+49.0%9.5-1.2under0-0pending
CIN6.9+40.7%10.5-3.6under0-0pending
CLE7.5+44.3%6.5+1.0over0-0pending
DAL7.5+44.3%10.5-3.0under0-0pending
DEN10.6+62.6%10.5+0.1over0-0pending
DET9.6+56.3%11.5-1.9under0-0pending
GB9.5+55.9%10.5-1.0under0-0pending
HOU9.8+57.6%10.5-0.7under0-0pending
IND9.1+53.7%8.5+0.6over0-0pending
JAX9.7+57.1%9.5+0.2over0-0pending
KC8.8+51.8%10.5-1.7under0-0pending
LA11.0+64.9%12.5-1.5under0-0pending
LAC9.2+54.0%10.5-1.3under0-0pending
LV6.5+38.0%6.50.0lean_under0-0pending
MIA7.0+41.4%4.5+2.5over0-0pending
MIN9.0+53.1%9.5-0.5under0-0pending
NE10.4+61.1%10.5-0.1under0-0pending
NO8.7+50.9%8.5+0.2over0-0pending
NYG7.2+42.1%7.5-0.3under0-0pending
NYJ6.0+35.2%5.5+0.5over0-0pending
PHI9.4+55.3%10.5-1.1under0-0pending
PIT8.4+49.6%8.5-0.1under0-0pending
SEA10.9+63.9%11.5-0.6under0-0pending
SF8.3+48.8%10.5-2.2under0-0pending
TB7.7+45.2%8.5-0.8under0-0pending
TEN5.7+33.4%6.5-0.8under0-0pending
WAS7.2+42.4%7.5-0.3under0-0pending

How to read this

model research, not a settled bet result

The model projection comes from the NFL research layer. The market line comes from Kalshi. Difference is the model projection minus that line, so positive rows are model overs and negative rows are model unders.

Record and state update when the producer exports new completed-game data. A pending state means no settled result has been recorded here. This page does not infer live or final status from the clock.